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COVID-19 — School Closures and Their Documented Consequences
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== COVID-19 — School Closures and Their Documented Consequences == === Overview === School closures were among the most widespread and most consequential non-pharmaceutical interventions of the COVID-19 pandemic. Approximately 1.6 billion children — 94% of the world's student population — experienced school closures at the peak of the pandemic. The closures, which extended for years in some jurisdictions, have produced documented learning loss, developmental harm, and mental health consequences whose full magnitude is still being assessed. === Scale and Duration === {| class="wikitable" |- ! Metric !! Detail |- | Peak global impact || 1.6 billion children in 188 countries |- | Global average school closure || Approximately 5–6 months across the pandemic |- | United States || Most schools closed March–September 2020; hybrid/remote 2020–2021 in many districts; some remained closed longer |- | UK || Approximately 5–6 months total closure; reopened fully September 2021 |- | Longest closures || Some jurisdictions (parts of Latin America; parts of the US notably San Francisco and Los Angeles) closed for 18+ months |- | Sweden || Kept primary schools open throughout the pandemic; remained the major example of sustained in-person schooling |} === Learning Loss: The Evidence === The learning loss from pandemic school closures has been quantified across multiple studies: * '''U.S. National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) 2022***: First decline in reading and mathematics scores in history of the test; 4th-grade math scores fell by 5 points (equivalent to approximately 3 months of learning); 8th-grade math scores fell by 8 points * '''RAND Corporation analysis***: Students in districts with longer remote periods showed significantly more learning loss than those with shorter closures * '''McKinsey analysis***: Projected 1.3–1.8 years of additional instruction needed to make up pandemic learning loss in the U.S.; estimated $900 billion in lifetime earnings impact * '''Disproportionate impact***: Students from low-income families and minority communities experienced greater learning loss, widening pre-existing achievement gaps === Mental Health Consequences === Surveys and clinical data consistently documented significant mental health deterioration during pandemic school closures: * CDC surveys found that 37% of U.S. high school students reported poor mental health "most of the time or always" during the pandemic * Anxiety and depression rates roughly doubled in children and adolescents during the pandemic period * Emergency department visits for self-harm and suicide attempts increased, particularly among girls aged 12–17 * The American Academy of Pediatrics declared a national child and adolescent mental health emergency in October 2021 === Was the Evidence for School Closures Strong? === A significant retrospective finding is that the scientific evidence for school closures as a pandemic intervention was relatively weak from the beginning: * Children were identified early as being at very low risk from severe COVID-19 * Evidence that schools were primary transmission vectors was limited * Sweden's decision to keep primary schools open was not associated with worse outcomes compared to countries that closed schools * Multiple pre-pandemic pandemic preparedness plans had not recommended school closures as a major intervention * The UK's Scientific Advisory Group on Education expressed doubts about the benefit-to-harm ratio of closures The House Select Subcommittee concluded that school closures "did not slow the spread of COVID-19" and "caused immeasurable harm." [[Category:Covid]] [[Category:Conspiracies]] [[Category: New World Order]] [[Category:World Health Organization]] [[Category:World Economic Forum]]
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